Jamal Dabbeek, Helen Crowley, Jalal Dabbeek
The Levant region has a rich history of destructive earthquakes, such as the large (M7.0-7.8) earthquake of 1157 and the great (M8.0) earthquake of 1170. Situated in the heart of the Levant and the Dead Sea Transform Fault Zone (DSTFZ), Palestine was affected by several past and recent earthquakes, including the M6.3 of 1927. In support of disaster risk reduction efforts, this paper presents the developments within Palestine's national seismic risk model. Residential, commercial, and industrial building stock was developed at the community level using the 2017 census. Critical infrastructure was developed at the building-by-building level using rapid screening surveys and other open-source and crowdsourced information. Structural, non-structural and contents fragility functions for each building class were selected from GEM vulnerability database and combined with damage-loss models for economic losses and fatalities. Combined with the Dead Sea Hazard Model, which features a new fault-based and smoothed seismicity model, the components were used to perform probabilistic earthquake loss assessment in the Open-Quake engine. The study identifies communities with the highest economic and human losses for several return periods and the emergency response and sheltering facilities at highest risk, i.e., hospitals, civil defence and school buildings.