This paper presents a model for predicting hourly solar radiation data using daily solar radiation averages. The proposed model is a generalized regression artificial neural network. This model has three inputs namely mean daily solar radiation, hour angle, sunset hour angle. The output layer has one node which is mean hourly solar radiation. The training and development of the proposed model is done using MATLAB and 43800 records of hourly global solar radiation. The results show that the proposed model has better prediction accuracy compared to some empirical and statistical models. Two error statistics are used in this research to evaluate the proposed model namely mean absolute percentage error and root mean square error. These values for the proposed model are 11.8 % and -3.1%, respectively. Finally, the proposed model show better ability in overcoming the sophistic nature of the solar radiation data.

العنوان

International Journal of Photoenergy

الناشر

Hindwi

بلد الناشر

فلسطين

Indexing

Thomson Reuters

معامل التأثير

1,56

نوع المنشور

Both (Printed and Online)

المجلد

2015

السنة

2015

الصفحات

Article ID 968024, 13 pages